Models are powerful analytical tools that shape policy priorities, targets, and international negotiations on climate change. These models, however, can feature unclear and widely divergent assumptions, resulting in overly simplistic or conflicting recommendations about an uncertain future. It is imperative that the construct and results of these various studies be adequately understood and contextualised.
The Climate Futures Project is an independent initiative to foster an informed and measured use of such modelling studies by policymakers, scientists, journalists and concerned citizens. We apply a common framework to assess, compare, and interpret the assumptions and results of modelling studies.
The Climate Futures Project is a project co-developed by the Centre for Policy Research and the Indian Institute of Technology, Delhi.
* Notes: TERI-Shell and CEEW estimates are not adjusted for CCS and carbon sinks, which are included in their scenarios to enable net-zero emissions; Figures adjacent to the points represent primary energy demand in megatonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe)
* Notes: TERI-Shell and CEEW estimates are not adjusted for CCS and carbon sinks, which are included in their scenarios to enable net-zero emissions; Figures adjacent to the points represent primary energy demand in megatonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe)
What are the implications for science and policymakers?