Models are powerful analytical tools that shape policy priorities, targets, and international negotiations on climate change. These factsheets apply a common framework to assess, compare, and interpret the assumptions and results of current climate modelling studies. Each factsheet is structured to include:
- An overview of the model. The stated purpose of the model, key merits, and scope for improvement; model type and structure; key scenarios included in the model.
- An assessment of the modelling approach. An evaluation of the robustness and appropriateness of the modelling exercise along five parameters: (i) model transparency and credibility of inputs to the model; (ii) appropriateness of model choice to research objective; (iii) assessment of scenario construction process; (iv) approach to uncertainty; and (v) transparency and validation of outputs.
- A summary of outputs. Graphical representations of the model’s key findings in relation to other climate modelling studies, with data on emissions, GDP growth, final energy demand, and energy supply. A summary table of results from the model, including core assumptions, emissions outcomes, energy and electricity projections, and projected costs and investments.
- A policy-relevant interpretation of model results. Outcomes of the model are assessed along six categories: (i) development pathway; (ii) energy transition pathway; (iii) emissions; (iv) investments; (v) equity and resource impacts; (vi) and energy security.
OVERVIEW
The stated purpose of the model, key merits, and scope for improvement; model type and structure; key scenarios
included in the model.
Assessing Approaches
An evaluation of the robustness and appropriateness of the modelling exercise along five parameters:
- (i)Model transparency and credibility of inputs to the model
- (ii)Appropriateness of model choice to research objective
- (iii)Assessment of scenario construction process
- (iv)Approach to uncertainty
- (v)Transparency and validation of outputs
Compare Results
Graphical representations of the model’s key findings in relation to other climate modelling studies, with data on emissions, GDP growth, final energy demand, and energy supply. A summary table of results from the model, including core assumptions, emissions outcomes, energy and electricity projections, and projected costs and investments.
Interpreting Implications
Outcomes of the model are assessed along six categories:
- (i)Development Pathway
- (ii)Energy Transition Pathway
- (iii)Emissions
- (iv)Investments
- (v)Equity and Resource Impacts
- (vi)Energy Security
Method and Framework
Method and Framework